Cautious Calm Holds as Israel-Iran Conflict Continues

Last week was dominated by developments out of the US and UK, not just because of monetary policy decisions, but also the unexpected announcement of a US-UK trade deal. Fed’s hold and BoE’s cut were were largely overshadowed by the surprise trade breakthrough. Importantly, the structure of the agreement offered valuable insights into the US […]

Australian Dollar surged broadly in Asian session following a much stronger-than-expected monthly CPI report, sparking speculation that RBA might return to rate hikes in August. Comments from a top RBA official also indicated that the central bank is vigilant about upside risks to inflation. The upcoming inflation reports for June and the more critical Q2 […]

The financial markets gained much-needed clarity last week as strong US employment data aligned market expectations with Fed’s own monetary policy outlook. The possibility of a 50bps rate cut in November has now vanished, with traders anticipating two more standard 25bps cuts this year, matching Fed’s dot plot. This development boosted Dollar, which ended the […]