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Key insights from the week that was. In Australia, the RBA Minutes from the April meeting provided some extra colour around the Policy Board’s deliberations. Despite pre-dating President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff announcements and the subsequent volatility in markets, many of the statements around the potential impact on Australia remain relevant, especially that “the effects […]

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26/01/2024

WTI Oil Technical: Approaching a Key Medium-term Resistance, At Risk of Mean Reversion Decline

WTI crude oil has started to evolve into a short-term uptrend phase reinforced by the recent liquidity infusion by China’s central bank, PBoC upcoming 50 bps cut on the RRR. The current 5-day rally of WTI crude oil has reached a key medium-term resistance zone of US$79.00/79.40 with a short-term overbought condition. At the risk […]
05/08/2024

Aussie Slides on Fears Over the US Economy

The Australian dollar has taken a nasty spill to start off the trading week. AUD/USD dropped as much has 2.5% in the Asian session and fell to its lowest levels since November 2023. The Aussie has pared those losses and is down 0.96% at the time of writing, trading at 0.6448. RBA likely to deliver […]
02/04/2024

Sunset Market Commentary

Markets Core bonds dropped with a continued rise in oil prices ($88.5/b) serving as a common factor. German Bunds underperform US Treasuries. That’s partially a catch-up move as European markets missed out on US action yesterday (Easter Monday). German yields add between 1 (2-y) to 14.3 bps (30-y). The curve steepening (less inverse) happens against […]