What Next: Australia Rate, EU CPI, US NFP

  The Consumer Price Index for Australia was released this morning. According to ForexFactory: → CPI in quarterly terms: actual = 1.0%, expected = 0.8%, previous value = 0.6%; → CPI in annual terms: actual = 3.5%, expected = 3.4%, previous value = 3.4%. Rising inflation figures suggest that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s tight […]

Summary United States: Economic Data More Rice & Beans than Steak & Eggs Markets chewed on an array of economic data this week, and what was served was mostly gristle. A weak retail sales print suggests that consumers may finally be feeling some spending fatigue. Markets also received a three-course housing market update which painted […]

We expect the RBNZ to leave the OCR at 5.5%. We expect a short statement as with the April Review. The RBNZ will emphasise the upside risks to consumer spending and inflation emanating from the less contractionary than expected Budget 2024. But they will balance this with some dovish messages associated with potential downside risks […]